Monday, February 23, 2009

GOP looks to the past for future strategy

Remember the '90's? Democrats sure do, their 2008 landslide wins can be accredited to a young, fresh faced and ambitious politician coming from nowhere and promising change and relief for a struggling middle class in the face of an economic slowdown and an unpopular incumbent party.
Sound familiar?
All we needed were Ross Perot's charts.
So if the Democrats can bulldoze their way back to power with 16 year old strategies, why can't the Republicans? After all, just this last month has seen scenes that could've been taken right from Newt Gingrich's '94 "Contract With America" playbook.
Politico has a good piece about what may come next for the struggling GOP.
First off, Republicans are becoming a stone wall, unamiously sounding off and rejecting nearly everything that comes out of the Obama White House and the Democratic Congress. Although this is also brought about by two election cycles that have driven them into their most conservative caucuses, all but eliminating any moderate Republicans in the House. This was also a very similar strategy that Gingrich deployed: block and counter on any big spending ideas, block health care reform and try their darndest to portray all on the left as big government-loving spendocrats who would rather fund NPR than pay for road construction.
Will this strategy work? Maybe. But Obama ain't Clinton, and both sides have learned their lessons from those hyper-partisan years.
Obama enjoys general public support for his spending programs, high approval ratings, even larger congressional majorities than clinton first enjoyed, and now more than ever there is a sense among many Americans that universal health care is not the bogeyman that conservatives have tried to make it. Health care reform ranks just past the current economy and national security as the public's most major concern. Also unlike Clinton, Obama is crafting his health care package within the halls of the legislature, instead of a closed-door coalition headed by the first lady, it seems that health care reform will be fleshed out on the floor of the capitol just like any other bill.
The GOP is also not in as much of a position to be on the rise and congressional democrats, who've controlled the hill for two years now still enjoy slightly higher approval ratings than their counterparts, and Republican is still to some, a bad word.
However, the more things change the more they stay the same, and if Democrats stay Democrats and the legislation is seen as too liberal or "socialistic," as prominent GOP members are hoping, and they lose the support of the general publlic, then it opens up the road for a series of legislative embarassments and a potentially chaotic white house that could cripple a popular presiden't image. Now that all of us 90's kids can appreciate.

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