Wednesday, September 17, 2008

Today's polls 9/17

Well the Obama campaign in Chicago is breathing a little easier today, with a CBS News/New York Times poll that came out today showing him with a 5 point lead over McCain 48-43, The Gallup daily tracker also shows Obama +2 while the Rasmussen daily tracker has McCain +1.
There was a also a plethora of new CNN polling released today in battleground states that also showed good news for Obama, but nothing really game changing, except for maybe showing +4 in Florida and +2 in Ohio. The CNN poll also shows Obama +3 in Wisconsin, and McCain +1 in North Carolina and +5 in Indiana. Now the CNN poll seems to lean Democratic by a point or two in their internals, so even if we gave McCain 2 extra points it would still be good news for Obama to be -3 in North Carolina (a place he's been most of the campaign) and +1 in Florida, it seems that McCain's bounce may be over and the race is either tightening as it continues, or Obama may be on the upswing.
Watching the evening news programs. I've noticed that there's also been a lot of negative news coverage of the McCain campaign as of late, hammering McCain on his change in positions on de-regulation of financial institutions in the wake of the current market crisis, conventional wisdom says that Obama could probably ride that wave to November, but I think it's still really important for him that he simplifies his economic message into more digestible sound bites for the average voter and channels his inner Clinton (Bill) in the wake of this terrible news on Wall Street.

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