Today's polls 9/29

Well it's been a while since I've done a polling analysis but I wanted to wait until there was some smoke clearing after the debate and also see where the numbers may move after the financial crisis news begins to become more sobering to average voters.
I've been scratching my head a little bit recently as some places that are generally more working class and may be hit harder by the economy we see McCain holding an edge or making some inroads, especially in places like Ohio, where the latest Fox News/Rasmussen poll shows McCain holding a slim 1 point lead. This is a little odd, only because McCain is trailing by big numbers in some of the national daily trackers and it looks like Obama carrying a 4-7 point lead, with today's Gallup showing Obama at +8, his biggest numbers in months. Ohio generally holds to the CW, and as a bellweather state seems to keep it's own numbers pretty close to the polls so it's kind of an anamoly that with McCain's numbers at his worst, he still holds on in Ohio. Or maybe he just has the state locked up. The coming days will reveal more here I think.
Obama seems to have pulled ahead in the oddest place though, North Carolina, which has showed McCain holding roughly a 3-5 point lead throughout the campaign and looked generally out of reach for Obama, has now had two reliable polls in a row showing him +2 there. North Carolina would be a great pickup for Obama, he's defintely not given up the state, and he continues to advertise heavily there, visit the state regularly, and has opened over 20 field offices across the state. If Obama can hold his lead there, and also in neighboring Virgina, where fresh polls show him with his strongest leads yet (+3, and +5 respectfully in two days) then losing states like Ohio and Florida, where McCain maintains his edge, would not be a deathblow to his campaign.
With Obama's national numbers surging, it seems he has a much bigger map to play with now, and can again force McCain to play defense in his advertising, and force McCain also to make desperate gambles (see: campaign suspension) while Obama continues to grow his ground game and command the issues going into the final stretch of the election.
More good polling news for Obama continues to come out of Michigan and Pennsylvania, places where McCain was attempting some offense, but with some polls showing Michigan in the double digits and two separate polls from Pennsylvania showing Obama at +7 and +8, McCain's two hopes to erode Obama on his own turf seems to be fading.
I predict Obama's polling lead will stay the same, maybe the race will tighten up a little bit with the upcoming debates and as people take in the congressional strikeout that happened this weekend, but if the election were held today, Obama would have it in a walk.